投资者对 2022 年房地产市场的预期 What Investors Should Expect in the 2022 Real Estate Market
总而言之，2021 年就像坐过山车一样，但 2021 年的房地产市场却出人意料地异常出色。
但是，如果您错过了进行投资的机会，并且正在弄清楚新的一年市场是否仍然如此 - 我们在这里告诉您 2022 年房地产市场的预期。
我们向居外 IQI 集团联合创始人兼首席执行官 Kashif Ansari 提出了一些问题，他参与并为我们提供了关于 2022 年房地产市场走向的见解。以下是他不得不说的：
1. 来年投资者应该在全球市场哪里投资？为什么？
居外IQI集团联合创始人兼CEO Kashif Ansari表示：
“房地产投资的第一条规则应该永远是：不要赔钱。这意味着投资者希望限制其投资的潜在不利因素。在我们预计将在 2022 年盛行的环境中，投资者将寻求安全和保护以免受潜在损失。
“在大多数情况下，2022 年似乎最安全的市场并不令人意外。在亚洲，看看新加坡、首尔、东京、吉隆坡的地产和马尼拉的豪宅。在下方，看看奥克兰、悉尼、黄金海岸、墨尔本、布里斯班和珀斯。在美国，考虑迈阿密、奥斯汀、洛杉矶、纽约和旧金山。在加拿大，看看多伦多、温哥华和蒙特利尔。在欧洲，想想巴黎、伦敦、法兰克福、柏林和斯德哥尔摩。
“所有这些目的地的共同点是关于收益率和/或资本收益的良好长期故事。我认为许多精明的投资者会相信他们不太可能在这些金本位市场之一中亏损。”
2、明年国际楼市的大趋势可能是什么？
“大趋势是 2022 年可能是全球大流行引起的价格上涨的下降。在许多市场，价格将继续攀升，但速度会放缓。低库存、累积储蓄以及大流行驱动的新需求趋势都将仍然是国际房地产市场的积极因素。只是他们的力量会被削弱。“
3. Omicron 病毒株将如何影响投资者对国际房地产市场的情绪？
“Omicron 很可怕，但我们还不知道它会产生什么影响。此时的大多数分析表明，Omicron 将暂停甚至可能扭转 2021 年第三季度和第四季度加快步伐的开盘趋势。Covid-19 不再让投资者感到恐惧。我们都知道我们可以忍受它。房地产投资者在银行里的钱比 Covid 之前更多，许多人正在寻找一种方法来让这些钱发挥作用。”
4. 投资者如何权衡不同国家实施可能增加监管干预或限制抵押贷款的住房政策的风险？您预计特定市场的监管会增加吗？
“你可能会在新西兰和加拿大看到新的市场降温法规。当然，这样的规则刚刚在新加坡推出。”
5. 如果 COVID-19 复苏强劲，在大流行期间，许多市场的城市中心买家转移到郊区的趋势预计会在 2022 年持续、结束还是逆转？
“随着我们进入 2022 年，城市、郊区和生活方式市场都非常受自住业主和投资者的欢迎。在这些地区，买家正在寻找更多的空间和便利设施。随着居民重新评估他们的生活方式并选择住在新的地方，大迁移仍在进行中，但这个故事不再是关于离开城市前往郊区的故事。交通是双向的。”
All in all, 2021 has been a rollercoaster of a ride, but the real estate market was surprisingly exceptional in 2021.
But if you've missed your chance to place your investment and is figuring out if the market is still the same in the new year - we're here to tell you what to expect in the real estate market in 2022.
We asked Juwai IQI Group Co-Founder and CEO Kashif Ansari some questions, and he weighed in and gave us insights into where the real estate market will head in 2022. Here's what he had to say:
1. Where in the global markets should investors invest in the coming year? Why?
Juwai IQI Group Co-Founder and CEO Kashif Ansari said:
“The first rule of property investing should always be: Don't lose money. That means investors want to limit the potential downside to their investment. In the environment that we expect to prevail in 2022, investors will seek safety and protection from potential loss.
“The markets that appear to be safest for 2022 are, for the most part, no surprise. In Asia, look at Singapore, Seoul, Tokyo, landed property in Kuala Lumpur and luxury property in Manila. Down under, look at Auckland, Sydney, the Gold Coast, Melbourne, Brisbane, and Perth. In the United States, consider Miami, Austin, Los Angeles, New York, and San Francisco. In Canada, look at Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal. In Europe, think Paris, London, Frankfurt, Berlin, and Stockholm.
“What all these destinations have in common is a good long-term story around yields and/or capital gains. I think many savvy investors would believe they are less likely to lose money in one of these gold-standard markets.”
2. What is likely to be the big trend in the international property markets next year?
“The big trend is 2022 will likely be a downshift in the global pandemic-caused price boom. In many markets, prices will continue to climb, but at a slower pace. Low inventory, accumulated savings, and pandemic-driven new demand trends will all remain positive factors in international property markets. It's just that their power will be reduced. “
3. How is the Omicron strain of the virus going to impact investors' sentiment on the international property market?
“Omicron is scary, but we don't know yet the impact it will have. Most analysis at this point suggests Omicron will pause and possibly even reverse the opening trend that had been gathering pace in Q3 and Q4 of 2021. Covid-19 no longer strikes investors with fear. We have all learned we can live with it. Property investors have more money in the bank than before Covid, and many are looking for a way to put that money to work.”
4. How can investors weigh the risk of different countries implementing housing policies that may increase regulatory intervention or limit mortgage lending? Do you expect regulation to increase in specific markets?
“You may see new market-cooling regulations in New Zealand and Canada. Of course, such rules have just been rolled out in Singapore.”
5. Is the trend of buyers from urban centres moving to the suburbs in many markets during the pandemic expected to persist, end, or reverse in 2022 if COVID-19 recovery is strong?
“Cities, inner suburbs, and lifestyle markets are all very popular with owner-occupiers and investors as we go into 2022. In those areas, buyers are looking for more space and amenities. The great migration is still underway as residents reevaluate their lifestyles and choose to live in new locations, but this story is no longer about leaving the city for the suburbs. The traffic is going both ways.”
